Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 59.818596 67.993431 76.411534 85.694808 95.612772 105.861260 117.221564
2025-05-11 46.521095 58.032643 70.496316 84.855625 100.811428 117.878046 137.395942
2025-05-18 39.324166 52.672376 67.671441 85.489475 105.814455 128.039705 153.950844
2025-05-25 33.244684 47.682222 64.478895 84.986879 108.914914 135.567287 167.130244
2025-06-01 28.825936 44.078812 62.395454 85.302662 112.547159 143.359681 180.314374
2025-06-08 24.552363 40.160534 59.523021 84.318699 114.355679 148.814572 190.626280
2025-06-15 21.974419 38.128359 58.732273 85.638297 118.715919 157.091641 204.077634
2025-06-22 19.813676 36.415771 58.159665 87.071636 123.091975 165.300617 217.389474
2025-06-29 17.085151 33.630495 55.978128 86.302970 124.641371 170.053676 226.571103
2025-07-06 14.253803 30.385114 52.945014 84.242598 124.431169 172.573482 233.010842
2025-07-13 13.525175 30.218646 54.036725 87.490128 130.813918 183.027557 248.880201
2025-07-20 12.456667 29.407758 54.156610 89.402583 135.479446 191.380891 262.240150
2025-07-27 10.722886 27.363745 52.442280 88.825983 136.981318 195.909041 271.088228
2025-08-03 9.102753 25.310288 50.577247 87.942003 138.016368 199.819102 279.169255
2025-08-10 8.050432 24.115853 49.886032 88.593527 140.986941 206.089970 290.094050
2025-08-17 6.850375 22.481487 48.418195 88.079575 142.370752 210.341101 298.527773
2025-08-24 5.961966 21.316563 47.589607 88.402188 144.813090 215.891149 308.538624
2025-08-31 4.925411 19.673019 45.891607 87.397206 145.425460 219.089437 315.623874
2025-09-07 4.415120 19.079252 45.842220 88.744951 149.175578 226.260004 327.624677
2025-09-14 3.972176 18.567140 45.888594 90.208659 153.070784 233.614687 339.863497
2025-09-21 3.246184 17.228672 44.457618 89.423732 153.862830 236.969301 347.105065
2025-09-28 2.454373 15.493742 42.212087 87.319478 152.771585 237.846577 351.208159
2025-10-05 2.391147 15.771625 43.529490 90.635980 159.186784 248.449790 367.540492